Application of A Method Combining Markov and Convolution in PSA
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摘要: 提出一种Markov方法与积分法相结合的方法,通过全厂断电后电源恢复的概率安全评价(PSA)详细阐述了该方法。分析表明该方法可以有效地处理时间相关性,消除PSA模型中不必要的保守,同时又可以考虑电厂维修策略等动态过程。Abstract: A method combining Markov and convolution is provided in this paper. The power recovery scenario after station blackout is used to demonstrate the method in detail. The analysis results show that the method can efficiently solve the time interdependence issue, thus eliminating unnecessary conservatism in PSA model, and meanwhile, the method can take maintenance strategies into account easily.
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Key words:
- Markov /
- Convolution /
- Time interdependency /
- Station blackout /
- Power recovery
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